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| Syria-Lebanon-Iran |
| Iran plans for US Invasion |
| 2006-05-31 |
| Iran, apparently anticipating an American invasion, has quietly been restructuring its military and testing a new military doctrine that calls for a decentralized, Iraqi-style guerrilla campaign against an invading force. It might be worth it to feign an invasion just to watch them respond and then clean up the response Iran's military planners are acutely aware that a military confrontation with technologically more advanced U.S. armed forces would be rapid and multifronted, unlike the static and slow-paced 1980-88 war with Saddam Hussein's Iraq. Therefore, a series of war games have been carried out since late last year to test the army's readiness. In December, more than 15,000 members of the regular armed forces participated in an exercise in northwestern Iran's strategically sensitive Azerbaijan border provinces that focused on irregular warfare carried out by highly mobile army units, according to the official MENA news agency. A second exercise was conducted in the majority-Arab province of Khuzestan in September, according to the Iranian press, aimed at quelling insurgencies in areas subject to ethnic unrest and prone to foreign influence. Involving a reported 100,000 troops, the exercise provided an example of how the Islamic Republic would respond to further disturbances in the strategic, oil-rich province that has been the scene of a year-old terrorist bombing campaign. An European military attache in Tehran told The Washington Times that the Revolutionary Guard is moving away from a joint command with the ordinary army and taking a more prominent role in controlling Iran's often porous borders, even as it makes each of Iran's border provinces autonomous in the event of war. Anthony Cordesman of the Center for Strategic and International Studies dismissed the reports of the Iranian military acquiring new capabilities, saying it has been training in asymmetric tactics for years. Iranian war planners expect that the first step taken by an invading force would be to occupy the oil-rich Khuzestan region, secure the sensitive Strait of Hormuz and cut off the Iranian military's oil supply. Foreign diplomats who monitor Iran's army say that Iran's leadership has acknowledged it stands little chance of defeating U.S. armed forces with conventional military doctrine. The shift in focus to guerrilla warfare against an occupying army in the aftermath of a successful invasion mirrors developments in Iraq, where a triumphant U.S. military campaign has been followed by three years of slow, indecisive struggle with insurgent and terrorist forces. |
| Posted by:Nimble Spemble |
| #20 I hate to spoil any surprise endings, but one way to defeat this fiendishly clever plan is to not invade. Just blow everything to hell and go home. Rinse and repeat as necessary. I do believe this approach is rather well-covered by the overarching Army motto of: "We break things." |
| Posted by: Zenster 2006-05-31 22:11 |
| #19 Thanks for the update, Joe. Never would have figured out it was you ;-) |
| Posted by: xbalanke 2006-05-31 22:11 |
| #18 I'm with Barbara. Fly-over and drop country. |
| Posted by: Gene the Moron 2006-05-31 21:54 |
| #17 :-) - Alan |
| Posted by: Frank G 2006-05-31 21:34 |
| #16 Okay, can I get a vote? How many people here didn't know that Those Phinegum7471 was really Joe? Get those hands up. No?? Yeah you in the back can go to the Boy's room. Anyone else????? Didn't think so. ;^) |
| Posted by: AlanC 2006-05-31 21:32 |
| #15 Sorry - forgot to post my name as I haven't had my Mickey D's or Wendy's coffee yet. |
| Posted by: JosephMendiola 2006-05-31 21:11 |
| #14 IOW, Iran will try to sink or destroy one or more high-profile US-Allied targets before retreating back into the mountains to conduct asymmetric "People's War of Resistance" - wid US milfors and bases already in Central Asia and on all other flanks, Iran cannot expect too much reinforcements from other sympathetic pro-Radics Muslim nations or groups short of de facto Sino-Russian mil intervention in defense = protection of Iran. ALso keep in mind that parallel or follow-on NORTH KOREA = TAIWAN = NORTH-TAIWAN scenarios are still very much possible while US-Allied milfors are preoccupied in Iran-ME, war scenarios or contingencies which both the USDOD and Amer's enemes are well aware of against the other. RADICAL ISLAM IS LOSING THE WOT ALL AROUND THE WORLD - DESPERATE TIMES CALL FOR DESPERATE ACTIONS, RIGHT, SO AMERICANS SHOULD NOT UNDERESTIMATE THE PROPENSITY OF THE SPETZLAMISTS TO ATTACK FIRST, BE IT AMERICA OR ELSEWHERE, SOLELY OR IN COMBIN, AND TO INCLUDE AGAINST AGAINST NEUTRAL REGIONS. The WOT > WAR FOR CONTROL OF THE WORLD, hence the whole world, allied enemy andor neutral, is a legit battlefield. |
| Posted by: Those Phinegum7471 2006-05-31 21:09 |
| #13 Yes, tyrannies depend on centralized command structures with all authority held at the top and granted only to a small loyal and dependent cadre of martinets. Competency is not a consideration, in fact, it's a drawback because its existence threatens the current despots by presenting a possible alternative. |
| Posted by: Monsieur Moonbat 2006-05-31 20:30 |
| #12 the Revolutionary Guard is moving away from a joint command with the ordinary army and taking a more prominent role in controlling Iran's often porous borders, even as it makes each of Iran's border provinces autonomous in the event of war. Maybe we won't have to do anything. |
| Posted by: 6 2006-05-31 17:01 |
| #11 How do you "plan" for an invasion - of bombs and missiles? Why would we waste our time actually going there? We're busy next door. Decapitate the |
| Posted by: Barbara Skolaut 2006-05-31 16:50 |
| #10 Any invasion will be at 15,000 feet or above, assholes, with no feet on the ground other than those already there....yes, you are paranoid, and yes, we have troops in place. |
| Posted by: Frank G 2006-05-31 16:49 |
| #9 Iranian Defense Plan for US Invasion |
| Posted by: Dar 2006-05-31 16:13 |
| #8 Lol, grb. We did need a tough-minded detail man - thanks! Excellent ideas. |
| Posted by: Chang Ominesing2659 2006-05-31 16:07 |
| #7 But be sure to air-drop plenty of rope after the dance so the real festivities can begin. Good idea. Along with the rope can come leaflets explaining how we "Will stop spanking all of you as soon as you mail the heads of the following list of troublemakers. Please use the enclosed priority express, self-addressed, stamped, one-cubic-foot mailing cartons. Don't forget to enclose a note with your name and address so we know where to send the $10,000 reward." |
| Posted by: grb 2006-05-31 16:02 |
| #6 But be sure to air-drop plenty of rope after the dance so the real festivities can begin. |
| Posted by: Chang Ominesing2659 2006-05-31 15:47 |
| #5 The shift in focus to guerrilla warfare against an occupying army in the aftermath of a successful invasion... I hate to spoil any surprise endings, but one way to defeat this fiendishly clever plan is to not invade. Just blow everything to hell and go home. Rinse and repeat as necessary. A country without gasoline and electricity is a country without a uranium enrichment program. |
| Posted by: SteveS 2006-05-31 15:44 |
| #4 #3 We should adopt the plan I thought Saddam was adopting. Had Saddam adopted that plan.... we'd still be sitting in Kuwait. He indeed missed a golden opportunity. Using it against Iran would be very wise. |
| Posted by: Besoeker 2006-05-31 15:28 |
| #3 We should adopt the plan I thought Saddam was adopting. THat is gear up for invasion so they get all tense, and then back down. Then gear up again, then back down. Each gear up can be done with communications and wargames, at least initially. The more it looks to the Iranian people as if the Mullahs' are paranoid the better so actual troop movements near the border are out. Then eventually they'll no longer respond to our false moves.... |
| Posted by: rjschwarz 2006-05-31 15:25 |
| #2 Venezuela or Iran? Maybe a coin toss... |
| Posted by: Seafarious 2006-05-31 15:17 |
| #1 Satellite photos reveal Iranians practicing secret maneuvers in case of war with US. |
| Posted by: doc 2006-05-31 15:07 |