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Great White North
Canadians face tough choices in election
2006-01-23
This is allegedly a straight news story but there's so much spin I nearly had to move it to the Opinion page...
Canadians voting Monday for a new leader and House of Commons will choose between 13 years of Liberal Party rule or a new government that could shift the country toward a conservative right seeking to cut social programs funded by high taxes.
Run for your lives! But not south! You might end up in George Bush's gulag!
It's a tough call for the nation's 22.7 million registered voters. Many support the social and economic policies of the Liberals and worry that Conservative leader Stephen Harper may be too extreme in his views on abortion and gay marriage, but Canadians also have grown weary of the broken promises and corruption scandals that have plagued the ruling party.

"Change is an issue for a lot of people," said Nelson Wiseman, a political scientist at the University of Toronto. "This is the Liberals seeking their fifth consecutive term, so a lot of people believe that it's healthy to have a periodic alteration of parties, like the Americans, so that dynamic is out there."

Paul Martin, 67, has trumpeted the eight consecutive budget surpluses under Liberal Party rule and sought to paint Harper as a right-winger posing as a moderate to woo mainstream voters. He claims Harper supported the U.S.-led war in Iraq, which was opposed by many but not all Canadians, and would try to outlaw abortions and overturn Canada's marriage rights for gays and lesbians — all of which Harper denies. "People will have to choose between the ultraconservative, extreme right-wing agenda of Stephen Harper and the progressive, ambitious plan we're offering Canadians," Martin told a campaign rally Saturday.Martin accused the Tories of muzzling their candidates in recent weeks to avoid alienating voters with contentious remarks about gay marriage and abortion, as they had during the last election.
"Just a heartbeat away from Jesusland..."
The Liberal campaign appears to have worked with Joanna Lundy, a mental health worker in Vancouver, British Columbia. She will reluctantly vote Liberal in an effort to block Harper from becoming prime minister. "He's not open to diversity," she said. "I think he'll put us in the dark ages on women's issues, abortion issues, gay issues."

Harper, the youngest candidate at 46, has toned down the rightist rhetoric that cost him the last election in June 2004 and has painted the Liberals as a party that takes taxpayers for granted and is top-heavy on scandal. He has pledged to establish a federal accountability commission to review government spending, to contribute $1,041 to Canadians with young children for day care and to cut the widely unpopular national sales tax from 7 percent to 5 percent within five years. "If you want your taxes to go down, you have to vote for it. If you want a government that actually does something about crime, you have to vote for it. If you want to fix health care, you have to vote for it. If you want choice in child care, you have to vote for it. And the only way to get that is to vote for a new Conservative government," Harper said Sunday at a campaign rally.

Martin's government and the 308-member House of Commons were dissolved in November after New Democrats defected from the governing coalition to support the Conservatives in a no-confidence vote.
Thanks, Captain Ed!
The opposition said the Liberals no longer had the moral authority to govern, pointing to a party debacle in which several members were accused of misspending millions of dollars from a national unity fund, prompting a federal inquiry and several indictments. Even after losing the vote and being forced to dissolve Parliament, Martin remained ahead in the polls and relatively popular with Canadians, who applauded his moves to legalize gay marriage nationwide, push through a national child-care program and stand up to Washington on security and trade issues.

But the Liberals' numbers began slipping after a teenage girl was killed by a stray bullet in downtown Toronto while shopping on Boxing Day, the day after Christmas. Harper quickly responded with a platform that was tough on crime and promised stricter measures to keep illegal guns from being smuggled across the U.S. border. The Liberals' popularity slipped even more in early January when it was revealed that the Royal Canadian Mounted Police were investigating a possible leak by Liberal government officials that appeared to have influenced the stock market. Though no one has been implicated of wrongdoing, Conservatives seized on the report to add to their campaign momentum. At one point last week, the Conservatives led in one poll by double digits, although their edge had dropped to 7-8 percentage points by Friday.

Postal worker Tim Armstrong is among the many Canadians tired of the scandals plaguing the Liberal government. "I think they lack credibility and integrity," he said. "Every time you turn around, there's another scandal. It just goes on and on and on."
Mon dieu. Good luck and good voting, cousins.
Posted by:Seafarious

#4  scusi - preview not working. typo's.. not stupidity.
Posted by: Hupomoger Clans9827   2006-01-23 18:54  

#3  Dunno about the stats - seems a little top heavy of the Conservative outcome. TO land seems to have been sliding back Liberal in the last 3-4 days.

We'll see tonight. Can only hope.

And seafrious, there is no American translation. Nothing as stupid as re-electing criminals who overtax, dump that into their freinds pockets, and call it "balanced buget" defies translation.

I can give it to ya in Quebecois - "Foutes-moi, il y a de la change dans l'air, Marcel? Tu sens ca?"
Posted by: Hupomoger Clans9827   2006-01-23 18:52  

#2  Can you translate that into American for me?
Posted by: Seafarious   2006-01-23 17:20  

#1  Poop may hit the rotary air blowing device :
There are several sites where you put in polling stats and you get results...

The #s i put in based on the polls has a Conservative Majority with the Quebecois with the 2nd highest seats....

OUCH...

Can you say FIREWORKS!

esm.ubc.ca :

Prediction of
2006 Canadian Federal Election
Scope of Prediction:
Canada
(308 seats)

Political Parties
LIB CP BQ NDP OTR
Popular Vote (%), 2004 36.7% 29.6% 12.4% 15.7% 5.6%
Popular Vote (%), 2006 predicted 27.2% 37.0% 12.8% 17.5% 5.6%
Popular Vote (%), gains (+) or losses (-) -9.5% 7.3% 0.4% 1.8% 0.0%
Seats, 2004 135 99 54 19 1
Seats, 2006 predicted 50 160 66 31 1
Seat gains (+) or losses (-) -85 61 12 12 0
Seats share (predicted) 16.2% 51.9% 21.4% 10.1% 0.3%
Safe seats (predicted) 21 116 54 16 1
Marginal seats (predicted) 29 44 12 15 0
Majority Government (predicted) no yes no no no

Hill & Knowlton Formula gives...
Con 163
BQ 63
Lib 57
NDP 24
other 1

Posted by: BigEd   2006-01-23 13:11  

00:00