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Iraq-Jordan
Running Out of Blood Money
2005-03-15
March 15, 2005: The Iraqi army and police have a casualty rate over four times that of coalition forces. Amazingly, this has not had any apparent effect on recruiting. While most recruits persist because they need a job, for an increasing number, it's all about revenge. Most soldiers are married men who live at home. When police and soldiers are killed, their neighbors in uniform feel an obligation to get revenge. In Sunni Arab areas, the police often know who is doing the killing. If not the individuals, than the family or clan. That's why the terrorists try to haul their dead away. But enough enemy dead and wounded are found, plus captives from raids, to know which families are hostile. The Iraqi police know how to play the family angle, which to Western eyes is bizarre. For example, if it is clear that the family is behind the attackers, then arresting the head of the family (usually an extended family, often with several dozen members) often gets the attention, and often the surrender, of the terrorists.

While many Iraqis know a lot of family details, U.S. forces have had to apply their computers and software (genealogy and police stuff, especially) to figure out who is who. This was how Saddam was captured over a year ago, and how an increasing number of terrorist leaders are being tracked down and captured. In the past week, former Saddam bodyguard Marwan Taher Abdul Rashid and his cousin, Abdullah Maher Abdul Rashid (also the brother-in-law of Saddam's son, Qusai), were captured because a family tree was illuminated and shaken. Many members of the extended Saddam clan have been found involved in funding and leading the attacks on the government and coalition troops. Money has been used as a weapon, and the Baath Party/pro-Saddam groups spend over $100,000 for each coalition soldier they kill. Thus the policy against paying ransoms. It's literally blood money. This is especially true because indications are that the terrorists are running into cash flow problems. As the tide turns, many of the terrorist paymasters are shifting their spending to themselves and their families. With war crimes trials now under way, and more Iraqi police out there knocking on doors, paying for dead cops and American soldiers is becoming a dangerous proposition. Too dangerous for a man of means.
Posted by:Steve

#11  LH I don't know if you're allowed to cross-your-fingers, but if you can... go for it. I see a blessed lowerering and a trend like trend of lesser boom. With that I will pray for you sole. Gawd (lsmft) protect you.
Posted by: Fr. Kolac   2005-03-15 6:01:40 PM  

#10  Period US UK Other* Total Avg Days

3-2005 20 0 3 23 1.53 15
2-2005 58 0 2 60 2.14 28
1-2005 107 10 10 127 4.1 31
12-2004 72 2 3 77 2.48 31
11-2004 137 4 0 141 4.7 30

Source
Posted by: Mrs. Davis   2005-03-15 4:36:32 PM  

#9  re numbers - IIUC US troops killed in Feb was lowest per day for some months, but still much higher than in early months of occupation. A saw a Centcom source saying some decline in total number of insurgent attacks - but again, thats comparing it to the high numbers of mid and late 2004. I dont know what the numbers are for Iraqi civilian deaths at insurgent/terrorist hands - there was that HUGE blast in Hilla, but other than that it seems like the numbers are slowly declining - more days in single digits than in late 2004.

But Id say its too early to call it a turning point. Instead lets focus on the growth of Iraqi forces, and on their steady takeover of areas like Haifa street.
Posted by: liberalhawk   2005-03-15 4:24:54 PM  

#8  Having the Iraqi cops and army go after the bad guys is what we need to do. The sooner they can take control the sooner we can turn out effort to other endeavors. Following the Family and Tribal connections is the way we should go at this problem. Everything has connections, finding them and exploiting them no mater how seemingly tenuous can and does pay off. (See James Burke for how odd and tenuous connections can be.)
Posted by: Sock Puppet 0’ Doom   2005-03-15 2:19:59 PM  

#7  My sense from reading the Iraqi bloggers (e.g., Hammorabi)is that we're about one or two attacks away from the Iraqis showing us that a lamppost is not just for illumination.
Posted by: Matt   2005-03-15 1:47:21 PM  

#6  a family tree was illuminated and shaken

Lovely phrase.
Posted by: Dishman   2005-03-15 1:31:46 PM  

#5  This is how things work. I have always said when the Iraqis start taking over results will start showing. The Iraqi dont think in PC terms and consult lawyers like our people have to. When you are looking for a enemy then you go get him his friends his family everyone until he pops up. The PC BS has been holding us back since the begining.
Posted by: C-Low   2005-03-15 11:31:36 AM  

#4  MHW, not sure that the number of attacks remains constant, or the number of reports of attacks in the MSM remains constant. The two are not directly related.
Posted by: john   2005-03-15 11:30:28 AM  

#3  mhw- The number of IED's & such is irrelevant. The costs of which they are speaking is the cost of actually hitting, not of shooting. An IED is cheap, especially with stockpiled explosives all over the country, but if we can kill/eliminate those who provide the financial support to the families of the terrorists then we can elminate part of the root that makes the terrorism possible.
Posted by: Jame Retief   2005-03-15 11:26:10 AM  

#2  I would like to think that money is running short in the terrorist camp. However, if the number of attacks remain constant (which they have been), I don't know what the evidence for this is.

I've been waiting for the terrorists to start running short of high class weapons which I think are easier to reduce.
Posted by: mhw   2005-03-15 11:21:33 AM  

#1  The Iraqi police know how to play the family angle, which to Western eyes is bizarre. For example, if it is clear that the family is behind the attackers, then arresting the head of the family (usually an extended family, often with several dozen members) often gets the attention, and often the surrender, of the terrorists.

No complaints here. That's how their system works, and if it gets results, more power to 'em.
Posted by: Bomb-a-rama   2005-03-15 10:10:42 AM  

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