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Europe
EUROCHAMBRES Study: US economy ahead of EU by at least 20 years!
2005-03-14
According to EUROCHAMBRES, the Association of European Chambers of Commerce and Industry, the economic performance of the EU is about 20 years behind that of the US. A study* presented by the business organisation at its pre-spring summit Business Forum in Brussels today compares the EU to the US in terms of GDP, R&D, productivity and employment by ''time distances'' between the two regions and forecasts how many years the EU will take to catch up with the US, and under what conditions of growth.

Commenting on the results, Arnaldo Abruzzini, Secretary General of EUROCHAMBRES, said: ''The US has a clear economic time lead, even increasing it after 2000. The current EU levels in GDP, R&D investment, productivity and employment were already reached by the US in the late 70s/early 80s. Even the most optimistic assumptions show it will take the EU decades to catch up and this only if there is considerable EU improvement. European leaders must set a clear signal in favour of the economy at the Spring Summit!'' The time-lags for the various key indicators are as follows:

Employment: Europe's employment level for 2003 was achieved be the US in 1978. It will take the EU until 2023 to reach US levels of employment, and then only if EU employment growth will exceed that of the US by 0.5% p.a.

R&D: Europe's R&D investment for 2002 was achieved by the US in 1979. It will take the EU until 2123 to reach US levels of R&D investment, and then only if EU investment will exceed that of the US by 0.5% p. a.

Income: Europe's income for 2003 was achieved by the US in 1985. It will take the EU until 2072 to reach US levels of income per capita, and then only if EU income growth will exceed that of the US by 0.5% p. a.

Productivity: Europe's level of productivity for 2003 was achieved by the US in 1989. It will take the EU until 2056 to reach US productivity rates per employed, and then only if EU productivity growth will exceed that of the US by 0.5%.

What happened to Lisbon? Taking over the U. S. by 2010?

Obviously, taking in the 10 eastern nations last year screws up the numbers a lot and these countries should have above average growth while they play catch-up. This study was commissioned by an organization that will probably show up in Brussels this morning with palms up. But the aggregate numbers are also meaningful as the frogs and friends think they can put together a bigger market than the U. S. that challenges us for world leadership. Deckchairs.
Posted by:Mrs. Davis

#23  I never said you didn't. I've no interest in sanctifying Giscard or anyone else. Thanks for the information.

Should I research on the moral character of Jefferson? I'd find it largely irrelevant in discussing the quality of their works, though.
Posted by: Aris Katsaris   2005-03-14 6:36:16 PM  

#22  Forget to tell Aris I know a lot more about Giscard than him.
Posted by: JFM   2005-03-14 6:05:15 PM  

#21  Let's no forget that the EU "Constitution" was written by a man (Giscard d'Estaing) whose presidency saw unprecedented scandals (eg the "sniffing planes") and who allied with such parangons of virtue like Mobutu and Bokassa. The later was notorious as a child torturer but also as a donator of precious stones to Giscard: cf the diamond affair (affaire des diamants in French).
Posted by: JFM   2005-03-14 6:03:39 PM  

#20  Actually I was "shut up" because I was watching a movie.

How "compact" is a Constitution that needs a 14th amendment to explain the 1st? :-)

Cheers, Mrs Davis. Check out Anonymoose post at #7, speaking about "brilliant notions" that Europeans are supposedly utterly ignorant of (like bicameral parliaments -- wow, it's not as if France, Germany, Spain, Netherlands, etc all have bicameral parliaments do they?), and how America solved more than 200 years ago *all* the problems that could possibly ever be faced by Europe today if stoopid Europeans only had the wits to give the US Constitution a glance (not that he knows which problems and disputes EU is *actually* facing, he simply assumes that they were same as the ones the US founders faced) -- and then talk to me about arrogance.

My utterly arrogant ignorance about America only comes to the front only after some American is utterly arrogantly ignorant about Europe instead.
Posted by: Aris Katsaris   2005-03-14 5:48:49 PM  

#19  I don't mind Aris being clueless. I've been clueless a couple of times today. But I'm fed up with the holier than thou arrogance that demeans anyone who disagrees with him and invites flame wars. Aris is just a punk know it all college kid, and we've got plenty of them on this side of the pond. Who knows, some of us may have been more obnoxious at his age. I'm just tired of it. It's not why I come here.
Posted by: Mrs. Davis   2005-03-14 5:26:01 PM  

#18  Mrs D. & AzCat

Aris is clueless to the American mindset. It needs to be pointed out to AK where he has no concept of American government structure. And if he at least understands where we Americans are coming from, that is a start...

AK is Euro-intoxicated, and can see none of the flaws of Big Brother, that we as Americans, well MOST of us see in a bunch of verbage. This verbage is designed to give more little Caeser gratification to added layers of bureaucrats who don't have a life themselves...
Posted by: BigEd   2005-03-14 5:18:43 PM  

#17  At least it seems to have shut the little bugger up for a while, thank goodness.
Posted by: Mrs. Davis   2005-03-14 5:06:36 PM  

#16  Because of the 14th amendment, ignoramus.

Ouch, that's gotta hurt.
Posted by: AzCat   2005-03-14 4:05:31 PM  

#15  And when the First Amendment starts with "Congress shall make no law", why do most people think it applies to government as a whole, regardless of whether on a federal or state level?

Because of the 14th amendment, ignoramus.
Posted by: Mrs. Davis   2005-03-14 3:35:34 PM  

#14  The US Constitution is a compact, well-written document.

And when the First Amendment starts with "Congress shall make no law", why do most people think it applies to government as a whole, regardless of whether on a federal or state level?

Virtual first amendment

The EU (Constitution) is a giant clusterf*ck

Well yes, it is -- I think its creators were more thinking of finding compromises for the current disputes plaguing the Union, rather than making it into an *elegant* document. Their mistake.
Posted by: Aris Katsaris   2005-03-14 3:31:33 PM  

#13  The US Constitution is a compact, well-written document. The EU is a giant clusterf*ck, like the Texas Constitution. Cheers!
Posted by: Brett   2005-03-14 3:06:55 PM  

#12  For example, the large, heavily populated states' interests are balanced against the small states by having a bicameral legislature: one house that favors the large states, and the other house with equal representation

Tell me what do you know about the double qualified majority principle in the Council of the European Union? Wouldn't you say it works using the same principle?

Too bad that the big-vs-small has not actually been so much of a problem compared to the supranational-vs-intergovernmental issue.

Their problems and their solutions are very well documented, however, and it is amazing that the Europeans ignored them.

Bullshit.

We didn't ignore your solutions to *your* problems. It just happened that *our* problems were different ones, no matter how you may try to forget it.

Tell me: what, if anything, exists in the US Constitution, would have made Britain more likely to desire to sign up to it?

Answer: nothing at all.

Everyone who thinks that the US Constitution solutions would have solved the problems the EU faced over the Constitution, has simply no clue about what those disputes were.
Posted by: Aris Katsaris   2005-03-14 3:02:52 PM  

#11  Their problems and their solutions are very well documented, however, and it is amazing that the Europeans ignored them.

Not amazing - typical and symptomatic. Their loss.
Posted by: Unagum Elmang5856   2005-03-14 1:19:48 PM  

#10  The EU Constitution is what happens when you ignore basic principles in self governance and proceed with writing the Code of Federal regulations.
Posted by: badanov   2005-03-14 1:11:14 PM  

#9  Less betting on failure, more WORKING for failure ...
Posted by: Edward Yee   2005-03-14 1:03:41 PM  

#8  Aris, don't you argue sovereignty with me. I'm still bashing San Francisco for not being New York. :-P
Posted by: Edward Yee   2005-03-14 1:02:55 PM  

#7  The US constitution is based on several principals that the EU would have profited mightily from, had they known the history of the thing. For example, the large, heavily populated states' interests are balanced against the small states by having a bicameral legislature: one house that favors the large states, and the other house with equal representation. A brilliant notion, and just one example. Their problems and their solutions are very well documented, however, and it is amazing that the Europeans ignored them.

But the basic problem remains the tragic Continental problem (Britain exempted) of the use of Roman and Napoleonic Law as the foundation of government. They have been disastrous as far as civil rights and freedom are concerned, and should be discarded in favor of Common Law throughout the EU government. Without Common Law principals the EU will never be a fair, equitable, balanced or just place. It is cursed to be a bureaucratic state, ruled by a self-appointed elite class that is unresponsive to the people.

If the EU cannot change this lethal part of its character, it is doomed to decay and collapse. I am not betting on success.
Posted by: Anonymoose   2005-03-14 12:26:02 PM  

#6   mmurray82, almost right. That's "a bunch of crooks....."
Posted by: RWV   2005-03-14 12:24:43 PM  

#5  The idea of the EU is a good thing

mmurray, don't let most Rantburgers hear you. ;-)

And as for central government with supreme power and single driving vision -- for shame! :-) Are you suggesting a *loss of sovereignty*, the same kind of thing that makes most Rantburgers and most Brits go apeshit when they hear about it?
Posted by: Aris Katsaris   2005-03-14 11:23:17 AM  

#4  The problem is that there is a bunch of cooks and not enough waiters. (or pick another metaphor) No central government with supreme power, no checks and balances, no single driving vision, etc. The idea of the EU is a good thing, we always need competition in a free market, but the Europeans fooked it up so badly they need to dissolve it and try again in a few years.
Posted by: mmurray821   2005-03-14 11:01:59 AM  

#3  SPoD, don't let Aris hear you. ;)
Posted by: Laurence of the Rats   2005-03-14 10:52:40 AM  

#2  Face it the European Union is a economic falure before it even starts. The UK should have second thoughts about tossing it's economy down the outhouse.

Face it EUites your Fööked.
Posted by: Sock Puppet O’ Doom   2005-03-14 8:57:37 AM  

#1  Then of course there is the Kyoto economic suicide pact.
Posted by: phil_b   2005-03-14 8:45:07 AM  

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