You have commented 339 times on Rantburg.

Your Name
Your e-mail (optional)
Website (optional)
My Original Nic        Pic-a-Nic        Sorry. Comments have been closed on this article.
Bold Italic Underline Strike Bullet Blockquote Small Big Link Squish Foto Photo
Terror Networks
Al-Qaeda’s Navy
2003-01-19
Accused Qaeda operative Abd al-Rahim al-Nashiri, captured late last year, has given CIA investigators info raising concerns that Al Qaeda’s “navy” could be the biggest current threat to U.S. and global security.
The Tamil Tigers 'navy' was very effective against the Sri Lankans, and that occured in a small area of conflict, whereas Qaeda could blow up western targets in seas all over the world
FIRST, THE USE of Zodiac-type rubberized speedboats loaded with explosives to attack U.S. warships and other targets. According to this source, Nashiri (a.k.a. Mullah Bilal) has admitted playing a key role organizing the October 2000 attack on the USS Cole and an attack off the coast of Yemen on a French oil tanker. Both used suicide Zodiacs. Early last year Nashiri sent a team of Afghan-trained Saudis to Morocco to prepare for Zodiac attacks on U.S. warships transiting the Strait of Gibraltar. The Moroccan intelligence service busted the operation but a key operative got away. Known by the pseudonyms “Riyad” and “Nawaf,” he “is more dangerous than Nashiri,” says one Arab intelligence official who is on his trail.
The second strategy, say sources familiar with Nashiri’s debriefings, is the acquisition of trawlers and other medium-size ships that can be blown up near other vessels. If warships become too difficult to approach, tourist ships could be targeted.
The third strategy is the use of private planes bought or stolen from flying clubs and small airports and loaded with high explosives. The fourth strategy involves training underwater demolition teams. Arab intelligence officials say a Tunisian naturalized as a Dutch citizen was sent to Morocco before 9-11 to set up a Qaeda diving school, but Tunisian intelligence identified him as suspect and Morocco expelled him. He is now believed to be hiding in Britain
Posted by:Paul

#2  Actually, the use of dhows packed with explosives was a method used by a former Marine Commander in a set of wargames to send a rapid response naval invasion of Iraq to the bottom. There were a lot of complaints that the wargames were rigged (i.e. the ships were re-raised and the wargames resumed), but that misses the point of wargames: To figure out the holes in plans so you can refine them and engagement policies. The wargames were restarted BECAUSE the planners knew there had to be more flaws in their plans, and they wanted to find them all in one swoop. (The marine commander complained, but I think its because he was a consultant and wanted to run his hours up.)

In fact, the response of the US support ship (by pirates, not Al Qaeda) was, no doubt, due to changes made in rules of engagement stemming from those wargames.

Den Beste, at U.S.S. Clueless, talks about the Jacksonian strain of the US when war occurs: Fight honorably when the enemy fights honorably, but reserve the right to take the gloves off and fight dirty when the enemy fights dirty. (The Geneva conventions, he points out, apply only to signatories that agree to fight according to Convention rules. The rules cease to apply to signatories that violate the rules, AND excuses their opponents from convention rules also! For all his treachery, even Hitler feared to break the Geneva convention rules. The Japanese broke the rules with impunity, so we were not condemned when we used chemical weapons against them (flamethrowers). Don't forget that when discussing the morality of dropping the atomic bombs on military targets situated in Hiroshima and Nagasaki.).
Posted by: Ptah   2003-01-20 08:58:02  

#1  Attack U.S. warships with rubber boats? Where did I read recently that a U.S. support ship, passing through Arab waters, turned .50-cals on a group of guys in boats who wouldn't turn away? They did after they realized we were paying attention.

Attacking tourist ships or commercial vessels is more plausible and, strategically, extraordinarily dangerous for Al Queda, and Muslims, generally. Imagine the scenario: a cruise ship is sunk by a suicide boat. Hundreds of U.S. and other western nationals are killed. The country is already in a hair-trigger mood and doing stuff like this is exactly the kind of provocation that results in hard-core smackdown. The Indonesians sure got a change of heart after Bali, didn't they?

There are all kinds of responses possible after such incidents. If we know where the boat was launched, and it wouldn't take too long to figure that out, we could declare war on the country that allowed it. We could, once we know the perpetrators, find their families and kill them (don't think we would? that's now, but if all gloves come off). We can play reverse terrorist on them, picking out targets of opportunity we happen to like in places they don't want us to hit...like their home villages)

At some point, you go to total war mentality. You simply don't CARE anymore who is in the way. That is what Al Queda is looking for, because they dream that in a confrontation between the U.S. and the Muslim world, the Muslims win. What they simply do not understand is that, pushed too hard, the U.S. will not be merciful or particular. We will see things for what they are: their culture versus our culture. I like our chances.
Posted by: R. McLeod   2003-01-20 00:18:55  

00:00